"Last week, we looked at what might happen next in Ukraine. An armistice, which is an agreement on how and when to end the fighting, will have to be negotiated soon, although it will not be straightforward to do and could easily break down. Nonetheless, suppose we assume that by mid-2025 (or any later date you want to put forward if you …
"Last week, we looked at what might happen next in Ukraine. An armistice, which is an agreement on how and when to end the fighting, will have to be negotiated soon, although it will not be straightforward to do and could easily break down. Nonetheless, suppose we assume that by mid-2025 (or any later date you want to put forward if you think that’s too soon) there is an armistice in place and the fighting is over, what then? That’s the subject of today’s essay."
The West makes it more and more clear with every day that there will be no armistice. They will fight to the last Ukrainian, forcing refugees to return to Ukraine to be press-ganged into the army immediately upon arrival. Once the supply of warm live Ukrainian bodies runs dry, NATO will intervene directly.
The West sees Russian reasonableness and humanitarianism as contemptible weakness. The sociopaths who rule western countries themselves would suffer no such scruples, as seen by they way in which they have waged their various recent wars. Hell, Israel right now.
Even worse, Russian dithering and indecision have caused the West to have already given so much material and propaganda support to the regime in Kiev that the West really cannot be seen to back down now. Since, short of nuclear exchange, there is nothing that Russia can really do that will personally affect the sociopaths ruling the West, they have every incentive to keep escalating.
This abuse of The Sunk Cost Fallacy is entirely intentional. Doesn't matter. WWIII is coming.
I think for a long time now America's greatest threats have been, and remain, internal. The outside actors seem to me to be more concerned about wriggling out from under its "rules based order" as best they can.
"Last week, we looked at what might happen next in Ukraine. An armistice, which is an agreement on how and when to end the fighting, will have to be negotiated soon, although it will not be straightforward to do and could easily break down. Nonetheless, suppose we assume that by mid-2025 (or any later date you want to put forward if you think that’s too soon) there is an armistice in place and the fighting is over, what then? That’s the subject of today’s essay."
The West makes it more and more clear with every day that there will be no armistice. They will fight to the last Ukrainian, forcing refugees to return to Ukraine to be press-ganged into the army immediately upon arrival. Once the supply of warm live Ukrainian bodies runs dry, NATO will intervene directly.
The West sees Russian reasonableness and humanitarianism as contemptible weakness. The sociopaths who rule western countries themselves would suffer no such scruples, as seen by they way in which they have waged their various recent wars. Hell, Israel right now.
Even worse, Russian dithering and indecision have caused the West to have already given so much material and propaganda support to the regime in Kiev that the West really cannot be seen to back down now. Since, short of nuclear exchange, there is nothing that Russia can really do that will personally affect the sociopaths ruling the West, they have every incentive to keep escalating.
This abuse of The Sunk Cost Fallacy is entirely intentional. Doesn't matter. WWIII is coming.
This could be true. There are other possibilities, including an internal collapse of the Kiev regime.
The Kiev regime has already gone full-on fascist with hardly a peep of complaint.
Nothing lasts forever, is all I am saying.
True, although we've been hearing about the imminent downfall of the US Empire for decades now.
Not only has this downfall yet to take place, I question whether its enemies are ruthless enough to get the job done.
I think for a long time now America's greatest threats have been, and remain, internal. The outside actors seem to me to be more concerned about wriggling out from under its "rules based order" as best they can.
Frankly, Americans should be more afraid of their own government than of any of the Scary Enemies paraded before them.
They start to get wise, but then, like the dog returneth to its vomit...